
Guenter J. Hitsch
Kilts Family Professor of Marketing
Kilts Family Professor of Marketing
G眉nter J. Hitsch听is the Kilts Family Professor of Marketing at听the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.听听
He studies quantitative marketing and industrial organization. His research interests include dynamic models of firm and consumer decision-making with a specific focus on advertising, pricing, sequential learning and experimentation, and intertemporal consumer choice. His research also focuses on the application of causal inference and machine learning to applications that include optimal customer-targeting and pricing. His research aims to provide generalizable results that apply beyond specific case studies and serve as inputs for both the decision-making of marketing practitioners and academic research.
Hitsch is a Co-Editor of the Journal of Quantitative Marketing and Economics and an Associate Editor at Marketing Science and Management Science. His research has been published in the American Economic Review, Econometrica, the Journal of Quantitative Marketing and Economics, Management Science, Marketing Science, and the RAND听Journal of Economics.
He earned an undergraduate degree from the University of Vienna in 1995, master's degrees in economics in 1997 and 1998, and听a PhD in economics in 2001 from Yale University. He听joined the Chicago Booth faculty in 2001.
Hitsch is an avid skier, and during his free time he enjoys chocolate, literature, and classical music. He wants his students to听learn that "good marketing isn't fluffy."
With Sanjog Misra and Walter Zhang, "Heterogeneous treatment effects and optimal targeting policy evaluation," 2024, Journal of Quantitative Marketing and Economics, 22,听115-168
With Bradley Shapiro and Anna Tuchman, "TV Advertising Effectiveness and Profitability: Generalizable Results from 288 Brands," 2021, Econometrica,听89 (4), 1855-1879
With Ali Horta莽su and Xiliang Lin, "Prices and Promotions in U.S. Retail Markets," 2021, Quantitative Marketing and Economics, 19, 289鈥368
With Andrey Simonov, Jean-Pierre Dub茅, and Peter Rossi, 鈥淪tate-Dependent Demand Estimation with Initial Conditions鈥 Correction,鈥 2020, Journal of Marketing Research, 57 (5), 789-809
With Jean-Pierre Dub茅 and Peter Rossi, "Income and Wealth Effects on Private Label Demand:听 Evidence From the Great Recession," 2018, Marketing Science, 37 (1), 22-53.
With Ali Horta莽su and Dan Ariely, 2010 "Matching and Sorting in Online Dating Markets,"听American Economic Review, 100 (1),听393-427
With Jean-Pierre Dub茅 and Peter E. Rossi, 2009, "Do Switching Costs Make Markets Less Competitive?,"听Journal of Marketing Research, 46 (4),听435-445
"An Empirical Model of Optimal Dynamic Product Launch and Exit Under Demand Uncertainty,"听2006,听Marketing Science,听25 (1),听25-50
For a listing of research publications, please visit the听.
Date Posted:Fri, 21 Nov 2014 09:42:17 -0600
We seek to determine how wealth and income influence the demand for private label (hereafter PL) products. In particular, we use the experience of the recent Great Recession to explore how larges changes in wealth and income affect the demand for private label products. Contrary to recent claims that the recession has sparked a sharp increase in Private Label demand, we find a long-term trend toward increasing acceptance of PL products that predates the Great Recession. There is little evidence that the Great Recession has changed the long-term trend. We link our panel data to store level data and establish that the PL trend is demand-based and does not stem from supply side factors such as pricing and availability. We exploit local variation in changes in housing values to estimate a wealth effect on private label demand. To estimate an income effect, we exploit variation in income across time for our panelists, controlling for local economic trends. We estimate significant but ...
Date Posted:Wed, 14 Apr 2010 05:07:52 -0500
For many consumer packaged goods products, researchers have documented inertia in brand choice, a form of persistence whereby consumers have a higher probability of choosing a product that they have purchased in the past. Using data on margarine and refrigerated orange juice purchases, we show that the finding of inertia is robust to flexible controls for preference heterogeneity and not due to autocorrelated taste shocks. Thus, the inertia is at least partly due to structural, not spurious ...
Date Posted:Wed, 25 Mar 2009 05:56:04 -0500
For many consumer packaged goods products, researchers have documented a form of state dependence in which consumers become "loyal" to products they have consumed in the past. That is, consumers behave as though there is a utility premium from continuing to purchase the same product as they have purchased in the past or, equivalently, there is a psychological cost to switching products. However, it as not been established that this form of state dependence can be identified in the presense of ...
Date Posted:Wed, 18 Mar 2009 17:15:04 -0500
For many consumer packaged goods products, researchers have documented a form of state dependence in which consumers become "loyal" to products they have consumed in the past. That is, consumers behave as though there is a utility premium from continuing to purchase the same product as they have purchased in the past or, equivalently, there is a psychological cost to switching products. However, it as not been established that this form of state dependence can be identified in the presense of ...
Date Posted:Mon, 19 Jan 2009 17:19:13 -0600
The conventional wisdom in economic theory holds that switching costs make markets less competitive. This paper challenges this claim. We find that steady-state equilibrium prices may fall as switching costs are introduced into a simple model of dynamic price competition that allows for differentiated products and imperfect lock-in. To assess whether this finding is of empirical relevance, we consider a more general model with heterogeneous consumers. We calibrate this model with data from ...
Date Posted:Tue, 01 Apr 2008 09:45:56 -0500
The conventional wisdom in economic theory holds that switching costs make markets less competitive. This paper challenges this claim. We find that steady-state equilibrium prices may fall as switching costs are introduced into a simple model of dynamic price competition that allows for differentiated products and imperfect lock-in. To assess whether this finding is of empirical relevance, we consider a more general model with heterogeneous consumers. We calibrate this model with data from ...
Date Posted:Sun, 30 Mar 2008 11:18:07 -0500
This paper studies the economics of match formation using a novel data set obtained from a major online dating service. Using detailed information on the users' attributes and interactions, we estimate a model of mate preferences. Based on the estimated preferences, we use the Gale-Shapley algorithm to predict the stable matches among the users of the dating site. Comparing the predicted and observed matching patterns, we find that the Gale-Shapley model explains the matches achieved by the ...
Date Posted:Thu, 24 Jan 2008 18:35:19 -0600
This paper develops a framework to measure 'tipping' - the increase in a firm's market share dominance caused by indirect network effects. Our measure compares the expected concentration in a market to the hypothetical expected concentration that would arise in the absence of indirect network effects. In practice, this measure requires a model that can predict the counter-factual market concentration under different parameter values capturing the strength of indirect network effects. We build ...
Date Posted:Mon, 21 Jan 2008 13:30:20 -0600
This paper develops a framework to measure 'tipping' - the increase in a firm's market share dominance caused by indirect network effects. Our measure compares the expected concentration in a market to the hypothetical expected concentration that would arise in the absence of indirect network effects. In practice, this measure requires a model that can predict the counter-factual market concentration under different parameter values capturing the strength of indirect network effects. We build ...
Date Posted:Sun, 12 Aug 2007 18:30:07 -0500
The conventional wisdom in economic theory holds that switching costs make markets less competitive. This paper challenges this claim. We find that steady-state equilibrium prices may fall as switching costs are introduced into a simple model of dynamic price competition that allows for differentiated products and imperfect lock-in. To assess whether this finding is of empirical relevance, we consider a more general model with heterogeneous consumers. We calibrate this model with data from ...
Date Posted:Sat, 09 Dec 2006 17:46:25 -0600
There is a substantial literature that documents the presence of state dependent utility with packaged goods data. Typically, a form of brand loyalty is detected whereby there is a higher probability of purchasing the same brand as has been purchased in the recent past. The economic significance of the measured loyalty remains an open question. We consider the category pricing problem in the presence of loyalty and demonstrate that a retailer has an incentive to invest in building brand ...
Date Posted:Wed, 27 Sep 2006 08:45:20 -0500
The conventional wisdom in economic theory holds that switching costs make markets less competitive. This paper challenges this claim. We find that steady-state equilibrium prices may fall as switching costs are introduced into a simple model of dynamic price competition that allows for differentiated products and imperfect lock-in. To assess whether this finding is of empirical relevance, we consider a more general model with heterogeneous consumers. We calibrate this model with data from ...
Date Posted:Tue, 13 Jun 2006 16:22:17 -0500
The conventional wisdom in economic theory holds that switching costs make markets less competitive. This paper challenges this claim. We find that steady-state equilibrium prices may fall as switching costs are introduced into a simple model of dynamic price competition that allows for differentiated products and imperfect lock-in. To assess whether this finding is of empirical relevance, we consider a more general model with heterogeneous consumers. We calibrate this model with data from ...
Date Posted:Tue, 06 Jun 2006 11:27:39 -0500
There is a substantial literature that documents the presence of state dependent utility with packaged goods data. Typically, a form of brand loyalty is detected whereby there is a higher probability of purchasing the same brand as has been purchased in the recent past. The economic significance of the measured loyalty remains an open question. We consider the category pricing problem in the presence of loyalty and demonstrate that a retailer has an incentive to invest in building brand ...
Date Posted:Tue, 11 Apr 2006 16:06:34 -0500
This paper uses a novel data set obtained from an online dating service to draw inferences on mate preferences and to investigate the role played by these preferences in determining match outcomes and sorting patterns. The empirical analysis is based on a detailed record of the site users' attributes and their partner search, which allows us to estimate a rich preference specification that takes into account a large number of partner characteristics. Our revealed preference estimates ...
Date Posted:Fri, 07 Apr 2006 11:37:56 -0500
There is a substantial literature that documents the presence of state dependent utility with packaged goods data. Typically, a form of brand loyalty is detected whereby there is a higher probability of purchasing the same brand as has been purchased in the recent past. The economic significance of the measured loyalty remains an open question. We consider the category pricing problem in the presence of loyalty and demonstrate that a retailer has an incentive to invest in building brand ...
Date Posted:Sat, 14 Jan 2006 17:20:13 -0600
There is a substantial literature that documents the presence of state dependent utility with packaged goods data. Typically, a form of brand loyalty is detected whereby there is a higher probability of purchasing the same brand as has been purchased in the recent past. The economic significance of the measured loyalty remains an open question. We consider the category pricing problem in the presence of loyalty and demonstrate that a retailer has an incentive to invest in building brand ...
Date Posted:Mon, 31 Jan 2005 02:46:09 -0600
We develop a model of dynamic advertising and apply it to the problem of optimal advertising scheduling through time. In many industries we observe advertising pulsing, whereby firms systematically switch advertising on and off at a high-frequency. The previous literature has explained such patterns through an S-shaped sales response to advertising, and long-run effects of advertising on demand (advertising carry-over). We extend a discrete choice based demand system to allow for a threshold ...
Number | Course Title | Quarter |
---|---|---|
Advanced Quantitative Marketing | 2025 (Winter) | |
Business Analytics | 2025 (Spring) | |
Data-Driven Marketing | 2025 (Winter) |
Television advertising may be considerably less effective than published studies suggest.
{PubDate}Household income may have a smaller impact on the success of private-label brands than previously believed.
{PubDate}If race is still an issue in arenas such as sports, the justice system, and hiring, how does it play out in our social lives?
{PubDate}